Iran’s Nuclear Doctrine in Limbo: Expert Analysis and Insights on the Latest Tensions with Israel

According to Kamal Kharazi, advisor to the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Iran’s nuclear doctrine may need to be revised if Israel poses a threat to its existence. Kharazi stated that although Iran has not yet decided to develop nuclear weapons, if faced with an existential threat, they may have no choice but to do so. General Ahmad Hajtalab, a senior representative of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps responsible for nuclear development issues, also discussed the possibility of revising Iran’s nuclear doctrine in response to a potential Israeli strike.

International experts believe that Iran is nearing the ability to possess nuclear weapons and could become a nuclear power in the near future with the right decision, although only Ayatollah Ali Khamenei can make that decision. In April 2024, Iran launched an attack on Israel for the first time, utilizing unmanned aerial vehicles, ballistic missiles, and cruise missiles. However, Israel managed to destroy most of the incoming threat without causing significant harm to the Iranians. This event highlighted the ongoing tensions between Iran and Israel and the potential for a change in Iran’s nuclear doctrine in response to threats to its security.